Fighting in the Middle East has begun disrupting energy exports from the region, and oil markets are responding. The U.S. benchmark, West Texas Intermediate crude, climbed about 6% on Monday to just over $71 a barrel.
But uncertainty remains high. This could prove to be highly profitable for both Shell and BP’s trading arms with Shell’s optimisation capabilities in LNG transit likely to be in particularly strong demand. Shell’s balance sheet strength also leaves it better placed to deal with any prolonged volatility and while BP’s buybacks remain on pause, we’re expecting Shell’s generous payouts are likely to continue this year.
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