A smaller but still concerning impact would be a scenario such as a “Great Recession for white-collar workers.” During the 2007-2009 Great Recession, unemployment rates doubled from 5% to 10% in the US. Such a doubling in the top quartile of exposure would increase its unemployment rate from 3% to 6%. This should be visible in our analysis as well. Note that our core estimate is based on differential changes in the unemployment rate in the exposed group compared to the less exposed group. If unemployment increased for all workers in parallel, we would not attribute this to AI advancements that still leave many tasks unaffected.
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完美日记的崛起与衰落，其实与中国互联网流量红利的兴衰周期高度贴合。不夸张地说，完美日记是美妆产品流量打法的最佳受益者，却也是流量退潮后最典型的受伤者。